Manifold

Manifold


Latest Episodes

Ivy League Anonymous: Great Awokening and Campus Radicals — #64
July 18, 2024

Earlier episode, Harvard Veritas:https://www.manifold1.com/episodes/harvard-veritas-interview-with-a-recent-graduate-anonymous-18Chapter markers:(00:00) - Introduction and Guest Welcome(02:12) - Campus Protests and Media Perception(06:29) - Student Poli

AI Global Odyssey: REAL Situational Awareness — #63
July 04, 2024

Steve talks about AI in light of his recent travels to SF, Singapore, Manila, Berkeley, and Silicon Valley.Chapters:(00:00) - Overview: SF, Singapore, Manila, Berkeley(01:48) - The AI Bubble in Silicon Valley(04:00) - Scaling Laws and AGI(23:36) - Glob

Philippe Lemoine: Bad Covid Science, Ukraine Analysis, and Philosophy — #62
June 20, 2024

Philippe Lemoine is a PhD candidate at Cornell University in philosophy and a widely-read public intellectual. We discuss philosophy, the scientific research used to justify COVID lockdowns, and the Russia-Ukraine war.Philippe’s writing: philippelemoine.c

John Seo: Catastrophe Bonds and the Investor Choice Problem — Manifold #61
June 06, 2024

Dr John Seo is co-founder and a managing director at Fermat Capital Management, LLC. He has over 30 years experience in fixed income bond and derivatives trading and has been active in the Insurance-Linked Securities (ILS) market for over 25 years. Pri

Molson Hart: China and Amazon, Up Close — #60
May 16, 2024

Molson Hart is the CEO of Viahart, an educational toy company. He has deep experience selling products manufactured in China, using Amazon and other platforms. He produced a documentary about the challenges Amazon's market dominance creates for sellers an

Jaan Tallinn: AI Risks, Investments, and AGI — #59
May 02, 2024

Jaan Tallinn is a billionaire computer programmer and investor. He was a co-founder of Skype, and has invested in companies like DeepMind and Anthropic.Tallinn is a leading figure in the field of existential risk, having co-founded both the Centre for the

Glenn Luk: China’s economic evolution, GDP, and high speed rail — #58
April 18, 2024

Glenn Luk has worked as an investment banker, private equity investor, and startup founder. He has closely analyzed aspects of the Chinese economy, including its GDP and high speed rail system.Steve and Glenn discuss:(00:00) - Introduction (01:21) - Glenn

Casey Handmer: Terraform Industries and a carbon-neutral future — #57
April 04, 2024

Casey Handmer (PhD, Caltech, general relativity) is the founder of Terraform Industries. He is one of the most capable and ambitious geo-engineers on planet Earth!Terraform Industries is scaling technology to produce cheap natural gas with sunlight and ai

Russell Clark: Japan, China, and USD reserve status — #56
March 21, 2024

Russell Clark is a hedge fund investor who has lived and worked in both Japan and China. He writes the widely followed Substack Capital Flows and Asset Markets: https://www.russell-clark.com/Steve and Russell discuss:0:00 Introduction0:52 Russell's backgr

Stephen Grugett: Predicting the Future with Manifold Markets — #55
March 07, 2024

Stephen Grugett is the co-founder of Manifold Markets, the world's largest prediction market platform where people bet on politics, tech, sports, and more.Steve and Stephen discuss:0:00 Introduction0:52 Stephen Grugetts background5:20 The genesis and mi