Manifold
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Latest Episodes
Letter from Reykjavik: Genomics, Chess, Hyperscaling genAI, and Quantum Black Holes — #67
This is a short episode recorded at the end of a trip to Caltech (LA), Frankfurt, and Reykjavik.Black hole information and replica wormholes at Caltech (talk slides):https://stevehsu.substack.com/p/black-hole-information-and-replica00:00 Intro: summer in
Robin Hanson: Prediction Markets, the Future of Civilization, and Polymathy — #66
Robin Hanson is a professor of economics at George Mason University. He has worked in a variety of fields, including Physics, AI, Economics, and Futurism.Follow him at https://x.com/robinhanson"When the typical economist tells me about his latest research
China Today: Myths and Realities — #65
Steve discusses China myths and realities with Victor, a tech founder who ran a company in Beijing for 7 years. Among the topics covered: economic growth, real estate bubble, technology innovation, human capital, freedom of expression, Confucianism and Cu
Ivy League Anonymous: Great Awokening and Campus Radicals — #64
Earlier episode, Harvard Veritas:https://www.manifold1.com/episodes/harvard-veritas-interview-with-a-recent-graduate-anonymous-18Chapter markers:(00:00) - Introduction and Guest Welcome(02:12) - Campus Protests and Media Perception(06:29) - Student Poli
AI Global Odyssey: REAL Situational Awareness — #63
Steve talks about AI in light of his recent travels to SF, Singapore, Manila, Berkeley, and Silicon Valley.Chapters:(00:00) - Overview: SF, Singapore, Manila, Berkeley(01:48) - The AI Bubble in Silicon Valley(04:00) - Scaling Laws and AGI(23:36) - Glob
Philippe Lemoine: Bad Covid Science, Ukraine Analysis, and Philosophy — #62
Philippe Lemoine is a PhD candidate at Cornell University in philosophy and a widely-read public intellectual. We discuss philosophy, the scientific research used to justify COVID lockdowns, and the Russia-Ukraine war.Philippe’s writing: philippelemoine.c
John Seo: Catastrophe Bonds and the Investor Choice Problem — Manifold #61
Dr John Seo is co-founder and a managing director at Fermat Capital Management, LLC. He has over 30 years experience in fixed income bond and derivatives trading and has been active in the Insurance-Linked Securities (ILS) market for over 25 years. Pri
Molson Hart: China and Amazon, Up Close — #60
Molson Hart is the CEO of Viahart, an educational toy company. He has deep experience selling products manufactured in China, using Amazon and other platforms. He produced a documentary about the challenges Amazon's market dominance creates for sellers an
Jaan Tallinn: AI Risks, Investments, and AGI — #59
Jaan Tallinn is a billionaire computer programmer and investor. He was a co-founder of Skype, and has invested in companies like DeepMind and Anthropic.Tallinn is a leading figure in the field of existential risk, having co-founded both the Centre for the
Glenn Luk: China’s economic evolution, GDP, and high speed rail — #58
Glenn Luk has worked as an investment banker, private equity investor, and startup founder. He has closely analyzed aspects of the Chinese economy, including its GDP and high speed rail system.Steve and Glenn discuss:(00:00) - Introduction (01:21) - Glenn