The Independent Advisors

The Independent Advisors


The Independent Advisors Podcast Episode 325: Booze in the Punch Bowl

November 06, 2025

Show Notes:

Cash is still pouring into money market funds…

https://x.com/MikeZaccardi/status/1984585372366750138


S&P 500 Index vs. S&P 500 Equal Weight…

https://x.com/dailychartbook/status/1985380197089370155


A Fed Cut in December?

Source: Briefing.com “The Big Picture”

https://www.briefing.com/InPlayEq/Commentary/TheBigPicture.htm


Tech Performance YTD

Source: X Post from The Trading Initiative on 11/3

https://x.com/howtoswingtrade/status/1985521724297761236


Don’t Mix Politics And Investing

Source: X Post from Ryan Detrick

https://x.com/RyanDetrick/status/1985356620168106074


#325 Topics:


  • $7.5T in cash sits in money markets — fuel for future gains once rates fall below 3%.
  • Market concentration peaks — S&P 500 cap-weighted index beats equal-weighted by 13%, signaling opportunity in overlooked large-caps.
  • Fed uncertainty grows — odds of a December rate cut drop from 90% to 65% after Powell’s comments.
  • AI drives tech rally — strong earnings and spending power gains, but a 20%+ correction looms when AI growth slows.
  • Cautious sentiment lingers — investors hesitate despite market highs, risking missed opportunities.