ProjectRoto - Duplicate

ProjectRoto - Duplicate


Fantasy Hockey X Recap: Possession And Shot Suppression

March 25, 2015

There are reasons why we do Fantasy Hockey X and then there was last night. Tuesday nights at 9:00 pm ET is basically like a haven for fantasy hockey and daily fantasy hockey players. If you missed the show at all, there should be a handy way to listen to it at the bottom of the page or just click on this link.

Lots of questions popped up but then as usual the debates and breaking news rang out like bells from a chapel. However, there were things that stuck out and then a little supplementary information as well.
That Whole Possession Thing
It is getting to the point where puck possession becomes quite important. This has been fun to take snapshots of various lengths to get a read on what will be good for fantasy hockey playoffs and DFS Hockey as we approach the end of the regular season. Then there is the second season obviously. The unfathomable thing is there are four playoff teams in the middle of the pack for possession since January. You have to listen to the show for all of them but it may not be hard to figure out who.

https://twitter.com/omgitsdomi/status/570426706177220609

Again this is something we have been talking about but yes the Rangers do miss Anton Stralman and likely they will realize that even more come the playoffs. Martin St. Louis has dropped off a good bit and yes is now injured, I know. However, the Rangers are one of those teams that just does not possess the puck all that much and yet they are riding the PDO wave like it is going out of style.

Quite a few teams are going to make the playoffs and be in the middle. Anaheim is another example. Again, teams are just playing with fire. You do need to be pretty reasonably solid with possession to advance in the playoffs or at least have a very good power play and/or special teams. Something has to give eventually, right?

That was one of the debates last night. Here was another..
Shot Suppression And Shots Per Goal
How many shots does it take for a team or player to score a goal. Better yet, which teams allow the least shots or are the best at stopping shots in the highest danger areas? That was something Christopher Pacheco, Michael Clifford, and myself touched on in great length on Tuesday night. DFS players are always looking for those edges and come playoff time, the dynamics of seven game series will change the way you play.

Again there is always a lot of conjecture but in the archives a lot of high spirited talk was focused on how shot suppression does not always lead to goal suppression. Sometimes chances occur in those high danger areas and there is little that can be done. This is what has hurt goalies like Jonathan Quick and Ben Bishop. There numbers look somewhat average until you realize that some games they may only see 20 shots or so but a half dozen dangerous scoring chances. If three go in, that is only a .850 save percentage.

Then there are some nights where a goalie sees 40 shots and looks great. Why? It is because a goalie gets in a rhythm and then everything looks like beach balls. See Corey Crawford the other night against Carolina where he stopped 40+ shots. When you think of how spread out scoring is this year, it is scary. What people may not realize is scoring is very slightly down this year. It is not dramatically off at all. Simply when more players score, it is harder to see 100 point seasons or even this year, 90 point campaigns. Rules likely will be needed but players that can finish could help alleviate these problems.

Next week we will likely focus on more transition strategies to the playoffs, where to distribute bankroll, and what players to watch for that could start to be rested. Again thanks for reading and listening. There is still lots of work to be done and all the questions are greatly appreciated. Good luck!