CIOs and Bow Ties

CIOs and Bow Ties


Taking Another Look at the Chinese Real Estate Market

November 08, 2021
https://youtu.be/b_CKRZipva0 (come learn with me)

points form the article:

-Taking Another Look at the Chinese Real Estate Market

-US$60 trillion China real estate market—which is likely the largest asset class in the world

-As such, these regulations have caused Chinese junk-rated property developer bonds to underperform this year—and in the case of Evergrande,

-yields on Chinese junk-rated bonds nearly touched 25% before falling recently

-the real estate sector makes up 66% of the high yield index. Additionally, of the $142 billion of U.S. dollar-denominated bonds trading at distressed prices (generally defined as debt with yields over 10%), 48% were issued by Chinese real estate companies

-However, that the China investment-grade corporate index hasn’t responded in-kind provides us comfort that the spillover effects are, at this time, limited

-That Fantasia decided not to pay its obligations caused investors to question the commitment of the property developer market broadly in servicing its financial obligations

-there won’t be a bailout per se but we do expect the PBOC to ring-fence the risks and prevent them from spilling over into the broader financial system


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