The Bayesian Conspiracy

The Bayesian Conspiracy


Latest Episodes

196 – Steven Goes To Court
September 20, 2023

Steven achieved his dream of serving on a jury. Our local lawyer Justin returns to score him on rational jurying. 0:00:23 All Rise 1:51:30 Less Wrong Posts 2:06:55 Guild of the RoseUpdate 2:09:

195 – KataGo vs AlphaGo: Fight!
September 06, 2023

Matts back which means we have some more AI stuff to talk about! KataGo was built as an adversary to AlphaGo and can beat it 94% of the time using a mere 8% of the computational power! The trick to

194 – Kinky Data Science with Aella
August 23, 2023

We talk with Aella about some of the results of her absolutely massive sex & kink survey LINKS Aellas Substack Aellas Twitter You dont need a perfectly random sample for useful data, jfc Women Pref

Bayes Blast 20 – Blue Pill/Red Pill in Roko’s Blender
August 15, 2023

Kill yourself for no reason, or save others? Lisatomics Poll Rokos Poll Eneaszs annoyance Scissors Statements origin

Bayes Blast 19 – Musicgen and Audiogen
August 10, 2023

Musicgen lets anyone make a quick music snippet and Audiogen is surprisingly good at generating non-confusing sounds! These tools are currently free and will no doubt be mind blowing in just a few mon

193 – Building Baileys with Yassine Meskhout
August 09, 2023

We speak with Yassine Meskhout of The Bailey about a whole bunch of things actually. LINKS Yassines Substack The Motte The Bailey podcast Yassines I Am Here Because Of Blind Dumb Luck Check Here Fo

192 – Absurdism and the Meaning of Life, with Alex
July 26, 2023

Alex joins us to smile as we push some boulders up some hills. LINKS Effective Altruism As A Tower Of Assumptions The Myth of Sisyphus by Albert Camus The Guild of the Rose 0:01:31 Post-Rat Feedback

Bayes Blast 17 – Gay Pride is White Liberal Pride
July 14, 2023

Me and Wes exchange hot takes. Mine is stolen shamelessly from Based Camp, go listen to the original source material there, its good!

191 – What is Post-Rationalism, with Arielle
July 12, 2023

Seriously though, whats going on here? Arielle dives in with us. LINKS Arielles substack Analog Futures Bayesian Conspiracy episode #5(!) on What is Rationalism? The Mind Killer live episode recor

Bayes Blast 16 – Holding PRNS (Present Rate, No Singularity)
July 03, 2023

How to talk about the future From On Present Rate No Singularity at Thing of Things

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